model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures Chronos-2,84.28571428571429,40.241553705242325,0.0,0.35793460493470153,0.0,0.0 TiRex-2,84.28571428571428,37.20661460897712,0.0,0.3251736416270779,0.0,0.0 TiRex,80.71428571428571,35.70932536691862,0.0,0.1291116508215071,0.0,0.0 TimesFM-2.5,79.64285714285715,36.21512359135406,0.0,0.575423012749835,0.1,0.0 Toto-2.0-1B,73.57142857142858,34.20036962571038,0.0,2.4259903984922184,0.0,0.0 Toto-2.0-2.5B,73.39285714285715,34.30608154282804,0.0,5.836743031095304,0.0,0.0 TabPFN-TS-3,73.21428571428574,36.38409783372577,0.0,223.4072169366242,0.0,0.0 Moirai-2.0,71.07142857142857,35.235748193480255,0.0,0.24187414339990285,0.4,0.0 citras-fm,70.89285714285715,34.62641656604545,0.0,0.6893570083816576,0.0,0.0 Toto-2.0-313m,68.92857142857143,33.80526265868134,0.0,1.062050223421533,0.0,0.0 Chronos-Bolt,68.75,34.57369581909669,0.0,0.13213293969508144,0.0,0.0 FlowState,63.57142857142858,33.231151028003566,0.0,0.8854096169209039,0.1,0.0 Toto-2.0-22m,61.60714285714286,32.43440844148379,0.0,0.24318868545675412,0.0,0.0 Toto-1.0,60.89285714285714,33.533977961386974,0.0,10.283148248083332,0.1,0.0 TabPFN-TS,58.83928571428571,34.19450526988148,0.0,79.45039829948598,0.0,5.0 Toto-2.0-4m,53.57142857142857,31.16311870045906,0.0,0.18067459324572688,0.0,0.0 Sundial-Base,40.71428571428572,26.539906909008327,0.0,8.099000643582091,0.0,0.0 TFT,38.660714285714285,22.27606386903942,323.36690221656073,0.2700071295171898,0.0,0.0 Stat. Ensemble,36.42857142857142,24.79006525446703,0.0,145.59674209388467,0.0,0.0 AutoARIMA,31.071428571428577,21.22121308421785,0.0,73.60630374002452,0.0,0.0 AutoETS,29.464285714285708,20.120766929488475,0.0,3.3519659038334995,0.0,0.0 PatchTST,25.35714285714285,14.9301643137155,287.64413890660023,0.2739963583326908,0.0,0.0 DeepAR,25.089285714285708,14.294397638336442,491.09394703656005,0.4963672847508972,0.0,0.0 LightGBM,24.82142857142857,13.191993375720667,1.2347621929848485,0.1353946523502825,0.0,0.0 CatBoost,23.75,13.347203632390958,17.24107904783333,0.14455932012545694,0.0,0.0 AutoTheta,23.392857142857142,15.776905337592694,0.0,3.0638472506820937,0.0,0.0 Seasonal Naive,14.553571428571427,0.0,0.0,0.3410607536415753,0.0,0.0 Naive,6.25,-43.691472811269946,0.0,0.31280659340063144,0.0,0.0 Drift,3.214285714285715,-44.75542175816074,0.0,0.3111704808059156,0.0,0.0