tables/frequency_daily/leaderboard_SQL.csv

model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
TiRex-2,84.3103448275862,37.20661460897712,0.0,0.3251736416270779,0.0,0.0
Chronos-2,83.79310344827586,40.241553705242325,0.0,0.35793460493470153,0.0,0.0
TiRex,80.6896551724138,35.70932536691862,0.0,0.1291116508215071,0.0,0.0
TimesFM-2.5,79.48275862068964,36.21512359135406,0.0,0.575423012749835,0.1,0.0
Toto-2.0-1B,73.44827586206898,34.20036962571038,0.0,2.4259903984922184,0.0,0.0
Toto-2.0-2.5B,73.27586206896551,34.30608154282804,0.0,5.836743031095304,0.0,0.0
TabPFN-TS-3,73.10344827586208,36.38409783372577,0.0,223.4072169366242,0.0,0.0
citras-fm,70.6896551724138,34.62641656604545,0.0,0.6893570083816576,0.0,0.0
Moirai-2.0,70.68965517241378,35.235748193480255,0.0,0.24187414339990285,0.4,0.0
Toto-2.0-313m,68.62068965517241,33.80526265868134,0.0,1.062050223421533,0.0,0.0
Chronos-Bolt,68.27586206896552,34.57369581909669,0.0,0.13213293969508144,0.0,0.0
TS-ICL,64.31034482758622,35.721804917964775,0.0,1.199606338748409,0.0,0.0
FlowState,62.93103448275862,33.231151028003566,0.0,0.8854096169209039,0.1,0.0
Toto-2.0-22m,60.86206896551724,32.43440844148379,0.0,0.24318868545675412,0.0,0.0
Toto-1.0,59.82758620689654,33.533977961386974,0.0,10.283148248083332,0.1,0.0
TabPFN-TS,58.53448275862069,34.19450526988148,0.0,79.45039829948598,0.0,5.0
Toto-2.0-4m,52.93103448275862,31.16311870045906,0.0,0.18067459324572688,0.0,0.0
Sundial-Base,40.0,26.539906909008327,0.0,8.099000643582091,0.0,0.0
TFT,37.672413793103445,22.27606386903942,323.36690221656073,0.2700071295171898,0.0,0.0
Stat. Ensemble,35.34482758620689,24.79006525446703,0.0,145.59674209388467,0.0,0.0
AutoARIMA,30.000000000000004,21.22121308421785,0.0,73.60630374002452,0.0,0.0
AutoETS,28.79310344827587,20.120766929488475,0.0,3.3519659038334995,0.0,0.0
PatchTST,24.655172413793103,14.9301643137155,287.64413890660023,0.2739963583326908,0.0,0.0
DeepAR,24.568965517241374,14.294397638336442,491.09394703656005,0.4963672847508972,0.0,0.0
LightGBM,24.137931034482758,13.191993375720667,1.2347621929848485,0.1353946523502825,0.0,0.0
CatBoost,23.103448275862064,13.347203632390958,17.24107904783333,0.14455932012545694,0.0,0.0
AutoTheta,22.75862068965517,15.776905337592694,0.0,3.0638472506820937,0.0,0.0
Seasonal Naive,14.051724137931032,0.0,0.0,0.3410607536415753,0.0,0.0
Naive,6.0344827586206895,-43.691472811269946,0.0,0.31280659340063144,0.0,0.0
Drift,3.1034482758620694,-44.75542175816074,0.0,0.3111704808059156,0.0,0.0